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2025-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -1 (88-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton 47 4-10 2-5 8-9 1 3 1 0 3 18 10 +5.7
Devin Royal 41 5-14 0-3 9-11 7 2 1 1 2 19 14 +7.8
Micah Parrish 40 4-9 1-5 2-2 7 3 1 1 4 11 10 +6.0
Ques Glover 32 4-9 1-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 3 13 6 +1.4
John Mobley Jr. 25 3-8 1-4 5-6 3 4 0 0 0 12 11 -2.7
Aaron Bradshaw 21 3-5 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 +1.8
Sean Stewart 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 6 8 +2.8
Evan Mahaffey 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 3 +1.2
Colin White 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 +0.1
Austin Parks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lu'Cye Patterson 48 8-18 3-7 1-3 6 4 1 0 1 20 12 -2.3
Mike Mitchell Jr. 46 6-16 4-10 2-6 3 4 1 0 2 18 8 -3.3
Parker Fox 40 8-12 0-1 5-7 5 1 1 2 0 21 18 -4.1
Isaac Asuma 40 7-11 3-4 1-2 4 3 1 0 1 18 14 -0.5
Dawson Garcia 29 2-9 1-4 0-3 6 2 1 1 4 5 2 -2.0
Femi Odukale 16 1-2 1-1 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 5 8 -2.5
Kadyn Betts 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Trey Edmonds 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 +1.0
Frank Mitchell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 0 5 -0.1
Brennan Rigsby 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter