Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -22.1 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 34 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | -19.6 |
| Jalen Leach | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -22.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 21 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | -0.9 |
| K.J. Windham | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +8.8 |
| Luke Hunger | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Justin Mullins | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Matthew Nicholson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.4 |
| Ty Berry | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -17.3 |
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Blake Barkley | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Blake Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Gus Hurlburt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | +0.0 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +23.1 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +12.7 |
| Caleb Furst | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +16.4 |
| C.J. Cox | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +12.9 |
| Gicarri Harris | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.2 |
| Myles Colvin | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +15.7 |
| Camden Heide | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Raleigh Burgess | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +5.2 |
| Brian Waddell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Will Berg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Jack Lusk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter