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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% -
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.4% 69.6% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 35 2-8 0-2 6-7 5 2 1 0 2 10 8 -22.1
B. Barnhizer 34 4-15 1-4 2-2 8 5 1 3 8 11 5 -19.6
J. Leach 22 4-8 3-7 0-2 1 2 1 0 0 11 7 -22.5
A. Ciaravino 21 8-14 3-7 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 19 8 -0.9
K.J. Windham 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 +8.8
L. Hunger 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 4 -9.3
J. Mullins 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5.3
M. Nicholson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -12.4
T. Berry 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -17.3
K. Fitzmorris 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 2 0 0 4 +4.0
B. Barkley 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.0
B. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
G. Hurlburt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 35 8-16 3-8 3-3 6 7 2 0 5 22 16 +0.0
T. Kaufman-Renn 28 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 12 12 +23.1
C. Furst 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 5 9 +16.4
F. Loyer 25 3-7 0-1 3-3 2 0 1 0 0 9 5 +12.7
C.J. Cox 22 4-6 2-4 2-2 8 1 0 0 1 12 14 +12.9
G. Harris 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 +5.2
M. Colvin 14 2-5 2-4 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 7 5 +15.7
C. Heide 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.4
R. Burgess 11 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 +5.2
B. Waddell 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -3.0
W. Berg 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.0
J. Lusk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. King 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

* = starter