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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Queen 34 6-13 0-2 5-7 5 2 2 2 2 17 13 -5.4
R. Rice 31 5-8 3-5 6-6 3 4 0 0 1 19 17 -9.7
J. Gillespie 28 6-14 3-7 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 16 4 -14.9
J. Reese 26 3-8 0-0 0-1 6 3 0 1 0 6 8 -24.7
D. Harris-Smith 24 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 4 8 +14.0
S. Miguel 24 3-7 1-3 2-3 1 0 1 0 2 9 2 -19.9
T. Gapare 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 0 3 +11.3
J. Young 12 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 8 12 +12.2
J. Geronimo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.0

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad 35 8-10 5-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 23 20 +8.7
N. Bittle 32 6-10 2-5 2-3 6 2 1 2 3 16 14 +18.5
J. Tracey 31 3-5 2-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 10 12 +22.5
K. Barthelemy 29 5-8 2-4 2-2 4 5 0 1 0 14 16 +12.2
B. Angel 21 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -3 +13.6
K. Evans Jr. 19 3-5 1-3 3-4 7 0 0 0 2 10 10 +2.6
TJ Bamba 17 1-8 0-3 2-2 0 2 3 0 0 4 1 -13.4
S. Cook 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Moss 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -11.8

* = starter