Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Jaden Akins | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Tre Holloman | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Coen Carr | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Szymon Zapala | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Jase Richardson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | +1.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Xavier Booker | 15 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Frankie Fidler | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.8 |
| Carson Cooper | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Devin Royal | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Micah Parrish | 25 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -15.9 |
| Ques Glover | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +15.4 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 24 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Sean Stewart | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +9.4 |
| Evan Mahaffey | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Aaron Bradshaw | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Colin White | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter