Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -32 (77-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 32 | 5-14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +26.4 |
| Tre White | 29 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 25 | +8.6 |
| Ben Humrichous | 27 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | +14.9 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 22 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +9.3 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 21 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +22.7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Will Riley | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +5.3 |
| Jake Davis | 11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +9.1 |
| Carey Booth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Kutcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -21.5 |
| TJ Bamba | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -20.7 |
| Nate Bittle | 21 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -18.4 |
| Keeshawn Barthelemy | 20 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Supreme Cook | 19 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Brandon Angel | 16 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Ra'Heim Moss | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +10.3 |
| Mookie Cook | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamari Phillips | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.2 |
| Jayson Williams-Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter