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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bailey 38 16-29 4-8 3-8 8 0 1 4 0 39 23 -8.2
J. Williams 31 2-5 1-1 3-4 8 3 0 0 3 8 11 -8.5
J. Davis 28 3-7 0-2 3-4 1 3 1 0 0 9 7 -15.4
L. Sommerville 26 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 8 7 -10.0
Z. Martini 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 1 -5.0
T. Acuff 20 3-7 1-3 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 7 1 -8.7
J. Derkack 18 0-3 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 +2.4
E. Ogbole 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3.4
PJ Hayes IV 8 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 +3.9

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rice 36 6-15 1-4 8-8 5 3 2 0 1 21 15 +18.6
O. Ballo 32 7-13 0-0 3-9 12 2 0 3 1 17 20 +11.2
M. Mgbako 30 5-13 3-7 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 16 10 +24.3
T. Galloway 29 4-11 3-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 11 9 +1.3
L. Goode 24 3-5 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 9 10 +2.4
A. Leal 18 1-1 1-1 2-4 5 4 0 0 0 5 13 +15.0
K. Carlyle 15 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -2 +0.9
B. Tucker 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -4 -15.9
L. Hatton 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 +3.1
M. Reneau 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.3

* = starter