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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gillespie 37 6-13 4-7 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 18 10 -10.2
D. Queen 35 11-18 2-5 2-2 12 1 1 2 2 26 22 -6.1
R. Rice 33 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 13 3 -9.2
S. Miguel 32 5-12 2-5 1-1 3 4 1 0 0 13 9 -2.0
J. Reese 23 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 2 5 7 -0.3
D. Harris-Smith 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -6.2
T. Gapare 15 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 1 0 -7.5
J. Young 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -4.8
J. Geronimo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Palmer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 40 9-15 5-9 1-2 4 10 2 1 1 24 25 -
F. Loyer 35 4-11 3-7 1-3 7 1 1 0 1 12 9 +10.7
T. Kaufman-Renn 32 9-18 0-1 3-3 8 2 1 0 1 21 13 +14.4
C. Heide 28 5-8 1-4 4-4 3 0 0 2 0 15 12 +10.9
M. Colvin 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 4 6 -4.6
C. Furst 12 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -4.4
C.J. Cox 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -5 +7.5
G. Harris 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +8.9
R. Burgess 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Berg 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.2

* = starter