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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -
Points Off/Def 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harper 38 6-13 3-7 5-5 3 4 2 0 3 20 13 -16.4
A. Bailey 33 6-16 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 4 12 1 -14.4
J. Williams 31 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 2 -3 -11.2
J. Derkack 28 2-5 2-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 8 6 -15.1
E. Ogbole 25 4-5 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 0 1 10 11 -9.7
L. Sommerville 14 3-6 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 5 -7.4
T. Acuff 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.0
Z. Martini 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -3.5
J. Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.9
PJ Hayes IV 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.7
D. Grant 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.3

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 37 8-13 2-3 4-4 0 3 1 0 1 22 12 +14.6
M. Parrish 34 4-10 2-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 12 6 +13.8
M. Johnson 31 2-8 0-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 4 5 +17.2
E. Mahaffey 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 4 10 +15.6
D. Royal 23 9-12 1-2 3-5 6 2 1 0 1 22 18 +10.3
S. Stewart 22 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 3 7 7 +8.2
A. Parks 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 6 +3.8
J. Mobley Jr. 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 +6.4

* = starter