Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Fitzmorris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Martinelli * | 39 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Brooks Barnhizer * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 19 | -2.4 |
| Jalen Leach * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Ty Berry * | 29 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Luke Hunger | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -4.6 |
| Justin Mullins | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +12.0 |
| Blake Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dix * | 38 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Payton Sandfort * | 35 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Brock Harding * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Owen Freeman * | 32 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Ladji Dembele * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.0 |
| Drew Thelwell | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Pryce Sandfort | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Even Brauns | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.8 |
* = starter