Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions -2 (63-65). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Tankersley | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Davian Williams | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Mike Pajeaud | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Djahi Binet | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Julian Lual | 27 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt | 25 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kameron Foman | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Omari Hamilton | 10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Josh Mitchell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Lisenbee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moore | 40 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Doctor Bradley | 39 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | +0.0 |
| Caleb Jones | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| R. Dumont | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Bolton Jr. | 21 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Zach Reinhart | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Brown | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Dante Sawyer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Klemen Vuga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter