Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | +12.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves +19 (79-60). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doctor Bradley * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 23 | +1.2 |
| Christian Moore * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zach Reinhart * | 26 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Quentin Bolton * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Klemen Vuga * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Caleb Jones | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -11.9 |
| Chop Paljor | 20 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Kyle Brown | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Dante Sawyer | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Landon Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Pajeaud * | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | +5.9 |
| Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Davian Williams * | 32 | 3-14 | 2-12 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Marcus Tankersley * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Djahi Binet * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -4.2 |
| Julian Lual | 15 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Josh Mitchell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Del'Jayvien Harried | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Daniel Braster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 |
| Kameron Foman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keionte Cornelius | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Tycen McDaniels | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter