Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -7 (53-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Pajeaud | 39 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Marcus Tankersley | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Djahi Binet | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Davian Williams | 24 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Keionte Cornelius | 20 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Julian Lual | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Josh Mitchell | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Kameron Foman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Antonio Lisenbee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kintavious Dozier | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Mikale Stevenson | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -6.2 |
| Ernest Ross | 29 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Chilaydrien Newton | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +2.0 |
| P.J. Eason | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -6.2 |
| James Flippin | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Antwan Burnett | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -7.5 |
| PJ Edwards | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Dupree Fletcher | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.2 |
| E. Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Elvis Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter