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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 66.6% 33.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 56.8% 43.2% -1.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% -
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Grant 35 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 3 3 -2.1
R. Mansel 34 2-6 0-3 1-2 8 2 0 2 1 5 10 +4.0
D. Ruffin 29 6-15 0-2 4-4 2 4 2 0 2 16 7 +2.4
K. Hunt 28 4-6 1-1 11-12 1 3 1 0 1 20 18 +18.3
J. Mitchell 22 4-8 4-6 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 13 9 -
D. McMillian 20 4-8 2-5 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 10 4 -3.2
D. Williams 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
D. Canoville 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 4 -4.7
J. Reyna III 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +0.1

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Tankersley 34 8-11 1-1 8-9 8 2 0 0 2 25 22 -4.6
D. Binet 28 5-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 10 9 -3.3
M. Pajeaud 28 2-5 0-0 2-5 6 0 0 1 3 6 5 -2.2
O. Hamilton 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 3 -3.5
J. Gaines-Wyatt 21 3-8 0-3 3-5 2 1 1 0 4 9 1 -11.7
D. Williams 19 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 9 1 -
J. Mitchell 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Foman 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +8.6
K. Cornelius 12 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 +3.7
J. Lual 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.2
T. McDaniels 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

* = starter