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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves UAB Blazers Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% -
Margin 2.7% 97.3% +19.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% -
Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.8% 87.2% -

Actual: UAB Blazers +17 (91-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gaines-Wyatt 27 4-9 4-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 14 9 -18.3
M. Tankersley 26 4-11 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 1 +0.9
K. Cornelius 25 7-15 6-10 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 22 7 -14.0
T. McDaniels 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 8 12 -6.7
J. Lual 21 2-5 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 5 7 +0.4
K. Foman 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2.0
D. Braster 16 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -6.4
O. Hamilton 15 1-5 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -4.6
D. Williams 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 -18.4
J. Mitchell 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 +0.5
C. Butler 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.6
A. Lisenbee 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.7

UAB Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Toney 32 4-9 3-8 0-0 4 4 2 1 1 11 12 +15.5
C. Coleman 29 6-8 0-0 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 15 15 -
Y. Lendeborg 29 6-8 0-0 2-3 12 6 2 1 0 14 27 +9.3
J. McGhee 26 3-5 0-1 1-1 2 3 0 0 2 7 5 +3.5
A. Vasquez 25 5-10 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 15 6 +13.0
E. Johnson 24 1-8 1-5 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 7 4 +14.4
B. Ezewiro 18 5-5 0-0 9-9 4 0 0 1 1 19 18 +12.6
T. Moore 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 +10.0
M. Hargrove 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.1
W. Shaver 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter