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2024-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Rice Owls Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 โœ“ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.1% 94.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% - โœ“

Actual: Rice Owls +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt 33 6-13 3-5 6-6 2 3 0 0 2 21 11 +0.6
Mike Pajeaud 24 2-5 0-1 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 4 9 -4.2
Djahi Binet 18 4-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 5 9 4 -2.4
Marcus Tankersley 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -9.9
Keionte Cornelius 17 5-11 4-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 14 5 -3.3
Omari Hamilton 16 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 3 -1.1
Julian Lual 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 7 5 +15.5
Daniel Braster 16 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 3 0 0 2 4 5 +5.3
Kameron Foman 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 2 3 +6.5
Tycen McDaniels 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 1 1 3 6 -1.3
Cameron Butler 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +10.3
Antonio Lisenbee 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.8
Tyrese Elliott 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.9

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Broadnax 32 4-7 1-3 2-2 6 7 2 0 2 11 17 -0.2
Alem Huseinovic 29 6-8 6-8 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 20 16 +1.3
Kellen Amos 29 2-6 1-3 1-2 5 2 1 0 4 6 4 -0.2
Caden Powell 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 6 9 -2.7
Emory Lanier 20 2-8 1-6 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 9 7 +7.2
Denver Anglin 19 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 11 1 -8.2
Andrew Akuchie 17 3-6 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 1 3 7 4 +5.0
Jimmy Oladokun Jr. 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 1 2 5 -2.5
Jacob Dar 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -4.7
Aaron Powell 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +4.8

* = starter