Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Binet * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -8.5 |
| J. Gaines-Wyatt * | 33 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | -13.5 |
| M. Tankersley * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -7.4 |
| O. Hamilton * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -6.7 |
| A. Lisenbee * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | +4.1 |
| K. Cornelius | 27 | 8-23 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | -11.8 |
| D. Williams | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| M. Pajeaud | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +6.1 |
| K. Foman | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.9 |
| D. Braster | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Corey * | 42 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +8.5 |
| J. Broom * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +8.5 |
| R. Brady * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -2.3 |
| B. Dunning Jr. * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +8.8 |
| D. Fasoyiro * | 11 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5.0 |
| JJ Wheat | 28 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +7.1 |
| J. Brown | 23 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +15.0 |
| E. Ormiston | 14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +7.0 |
| J. Cooper | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.0 |
* = starter