Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (101-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 35 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 35 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 26 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Monique Billings | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amy Atwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 38 | 14-20 | 2-3 | 12-14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 32 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 36 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 34 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Smith | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Epoupa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter