Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hayman | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +7.0 |
| Keon Thompson | 27 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | -3.0 |
| Juhlawnei Stone | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Myles Jenkins | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Keith Lamar | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Thierno Sylla | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Clayton Southwick | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.0 |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis | 37 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Dekedran Thorn | 36 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Trey Miller | 32 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -1.0 |
| K.T. Raimey | 23 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Howard Fleming Jr. | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Tommy Gankhuyag | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Marshal Destremau | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Kwo Agwa | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
| RJ Nance | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter