Model Predictions
| Model | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown | 37 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 24 | +16.5 |
| B. Nsiah | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | +13.3 |
| A. Barba-Bey | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +9.7 |
| D. Jones | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +9.9 |
| B. Reynolds | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +11.2 |
| J. Morris | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +7.2 |
| J. Emanuel | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.6 |
| C. Tweedy | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +5.9 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Williams | 36 | 5-18 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | -12.7 |
| J. Ezquerra | 33 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.4 |
| T. Kelton | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Z. Blake | 27 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | -12.0 |
| K. Lewis | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2.0 |
| D. Howell-South | 22 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -10.2 |
| Z. Fitch | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -12.4 |
| R.J. Greene | 13 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -6.8 |
| J. Sanchez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter