Model Predictions
| Model | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo'el Emanuel * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -4.0 |
| Ahmed Barba-Bey * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Terrence Brown * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Dylan Jones * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Cameron Tweedy * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Bismark Nsiah | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Brayden Reynolds | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Jameel Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Jacob Warren | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Smith * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Noah Best * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Braden Sparks * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -12.8 |
| Louis Bleechmore * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -12.9 |
| M. Riek * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
| J. Bergens | 32 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +7.0 |
| P. Johnson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Deon Perry | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +17.0 |
| K. Jenkins | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +7.0 |
| Matt Curtis | 9 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Michael Rogan | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.0 |
| B. Seck | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter