Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Spinelli | 43 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Allen | 43 | 9-19 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Matthew Robinson | 42 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | -5.8 |
| Dailliss Cox | 41 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -5.9 |
| Noble Crawford | 34 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Greg Spate | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Joe Spinelli | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Raiford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Parker | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Daemar Kelly | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 34 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Chris Moncrief | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.2 |
| Wisler Sanon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Aidan Harris | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Victor Payne | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter