Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Ezquerra | 35 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +4.6 |
| Zaire Williams | 32 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +5.4 |
| Zavier Fitch | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Zae Blake | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +19.5 |
| Tyje Kelton | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.4 |
| R.J. Greene | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +14.2 |
| Churchilll Bounds | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Ja'Kair Sanchez | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.3 |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Spinelli | 38 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Noble Crawford | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Matthew Robinson | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -13.6 |
| Jalen Forrest | 28 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -8.7 |
| Dailliss Cox | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -10.2 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Quincy Allen | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -14.4 |
| CJ Delancy | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Alex Raiford | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| Joe Spinelli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter