Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +42 (91-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Forrest | 30 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | -28.1 |
| Noble Crawford | 30 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -26.3 |
| Matthew Robinson | 28 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -35.2 |
| Quincy Allen | 28 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -23.1 |
| Gabe Spinelli | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Saxby Sunderland | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -16.6 |
| Joe Spinelli | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ Delancy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Alex Raiford | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -11.6 |
| Michael Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.6 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Brown | 31 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | +26.1 |
| Jo'el Emanuel | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +21.4 |
| Dylan Jones | 28 | 8-14 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | +20.4 |
| Bismark Nsiah | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +25.7 |
| Brayden Reynolds | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +29.7 |
| Ahmed Barba-Bey | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | +23.4 |
| Jameel Morris | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +19.6 |
| Josiah Francis | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +17.0 |
| Chidube Ekwommadu | 6 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +10.4 |
| Andrew Canda | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Brashon Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter