Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -12 (69-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 33 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | +8.8 |
| Daemar Kelly | 33 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +7.6 |
| Chris Moncrief | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +10.9 |
| Riley Parker | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 21 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +15.7 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5.1 |
| Miles Webb | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Wisler Sanon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.5 |
| Victor Payne | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Spinelli | 38 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Forrest | 35 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -11.3 |
| Quincy Allen | 35 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -10.5 |
| Noble Crawford | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -4.9 |
| Matthew Robinson | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.6 |
| CJ Delancy | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Michael Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Joe Spinelli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter