Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Forrest | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +14.0 |
| Matthew Robinson | 34 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +10.6 |
| Dailliss Cox | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +17.5 |
| Noble Crawford | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +12.2 |
| Gabe Spinelli | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Saxby Sunderland | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +10.8 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -9.8 |
| CJ Delancy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.8 |
| Michael Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaire Williams | 37 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | -14.0 |
| Javier Ezquerra | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -12.3 |
| Tyje Kelton | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -20.3 |
| R.J. Greene | 24 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Keyontae Lewis | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Di'Andre Howell-South | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Zavier Fitch | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.8 |
| Ja'Kair Sanchez | 15 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | -12.0 |
| Zae Blake | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Churchilll Bounds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
* = starter