Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +25.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +24 (81-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Crawford | 31 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -22.6 |
| Gabe Spinelli | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Forrest | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -15.5 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -14.1 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Matthew Robinson | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -6.8 |
| Michael Brown | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -19.0 |
| Cameron Jernigan | 14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Joe Spinelli | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ Delancy | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Alex Raiford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Fofana | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +20.9 |
| PJ Fuller II | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | +21.8 |
| Jordan Brinson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +20.5 |
| Scotty Washington | 22 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 10-10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +15.5 |
| Keonte Jones | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 20 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Tyler Beard | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7.3 |
| Grady Lewis | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Jalen Barbee | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +12.9 |
| Judson Martindale | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Robert Thibiant | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter