Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +23 (74-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Crawford | 33 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -1 | -16.4 |
| Matthew Robinson | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -13.1 |
| Jalen Forrest | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -16.0 |
| Gabe Spinelli | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -4.2 |
| CJ Delancy | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10.8 |
| Cameron Jernigan | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -7.0 |
| Greg Spate | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +2.3 |
| Dailliss Cox | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Joe Spinelli | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Raiford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Michael Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 28 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Ray Harrison | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +11.3 |
| Lok Wur | 26 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +17.0 |
| Collin Moore | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +12.0 |
| JaKobe Coles | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +18.5 |
| Duke Brennan | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +10.5 |
| Caleb Shaw | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +9.2 |
| Makaih Williams | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Austin Maurer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Sammie Yeanay | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jason Amador | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter