Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +36 (97-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Allen | 23 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | -27.9 |
| Gabe Spinelli * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Saxby Sunderland * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -13.8 |
| Noble Crawford * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -13.6 |
| CJ Delancy * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Matthew Robinson | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5 | -29.2 |
| Cameron Jernigan | 23 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -14.0 |
| Jalen Forrest | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -7.3 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Greg Spate | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Dailliss Cox | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Michael Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Joe Spinelli | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Raiford | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samage Teel * | 31 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +31.0 |
| Jahni Summers * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +25.7 |
| Markus Harding * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 23 | +22.4 |
| Camp Wagner * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Kmani Doughty * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +10.5 |
| Bruno Alocen | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +17.4 |
| Aaron Gray | 18 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +14.3 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Tyran Cook | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Merritt Alderink | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jayan Walker | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Josiah LeGree | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Cooper Bean | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6.7 |
* = starter