Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.4% | 7.6% | -13.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -20 (60-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Galette * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +14.7 |
| Jason Nelson * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +16.3 |
| E.J. Farmer * | 26 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +14.2 |
| Gabe Dynes * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 18 | -0.6 |
| Ty Harper * | 19 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +14.1 |
| Juwan Maxey | 24 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Cris Carroll | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Christian Kirkland | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| David Wilkerson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Nik Hendrix | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Dante DePante | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Allen | 22 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | -4.7 |
| Saxby Sunderland * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -13.2 |
| Matthew Robinson * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -13.7 |
| Cameron Jernigan * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -15.8 |
| Gabe Spinelli * | 22 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -9.9 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Forrest | 18 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Noble Crawford | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -15.1 |
| Greg Spate | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Dailliss Cox | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| CJ Delancy | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Alex Raiford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Joe Spinelli | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Michael Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter