Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +16 (83-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentino Pinedo | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -10.3 |
| Riley Parker | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Daemar Kelly | 30 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Chris Moncrief | 23 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 19 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -10.1 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Victor Payne | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Miles Webb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Wisler Sanon | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Aidan Harris | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brown | 31 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +10.3 |
| J. Jones | 31 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Devin Haid | 28 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +10.3 |
| Abdul Momoh | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +17.2 |
| Joe Ostrowsky | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +13.4 |
| Davonte Sweatman | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Darin Smith Jr. | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jaelen McGlone | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Max Frazier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Brody Limric | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter