Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Spinelli | 35 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Forrest | 29 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -15.7 |
| Saxby Sunderland | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Quincy Allen | 22 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -9.7 |
| CJ Delancy | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -11.8 |
| Matthew Robinson | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -11.9 |
| Troy McKoy Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Noble Crawford | 12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -9.9 |
| Dailliss Cox | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Michael Brown | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Alex Raiford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ostrowsky | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +14.7 |
| J. Jones | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Devin Haid | 26 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | +18.6 |
| Jayden Brown | 24 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +18.1 |
| Abdul Momoh | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +15.6 |
| Darin Smith Jr. | 21 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Davonte Sweatman | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Jaelen McGlone | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Max Frazier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1.1 |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brody Limric | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter