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Central Connecticut Blue Devils 74
@
Saint Francis Red Flash 59
2025-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils Saint Francis Red Flash Spread Result
Elo 67.0% 33.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% - ✓
Margin 71.7% 28.3% -5.1 ✓ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 69.1% 30.9% - ✓
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.7% 17.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% - ✓

Actual: Saint Francis Red Flash -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 36 11-15 4-7 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 26 18 +16.4
D. Haid 33 6-15 1-6 5-5 8 2 1 1 1 18 14 +15.3
J. Ostrowsky 30 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 4 +9.2
A. Momoh 28 2-4 0-0 5-6 7 2 2 2 3 9 15 +15.3
J. Brown 27 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 9 6 +14.7
D. Sweatman 19 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 7 4 +4.0
D. Smith Jr. 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Frazier 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.1
J. Jones 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +16.4

Saint Francis Red Flash

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Parker 34 5-9 2-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 5 12 5 -15.2
B. Rosenberger III 33 4-8 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 8 6 -22.6
J. Cranford Jr. 32 3-11 2-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 8 2 -1.0
V. Pinedo 31 5-14 0-0 2-4 8 0 1 1 0 12 8 -15.3
D. Kelly 28 2-7 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 1 2 6 2 -12.1
J. Clayville 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 8 3 +2.9
M. Webb 14 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 5 8 -14.3
V. Payne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Moncrief 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 +1.0

* = starter