Model Predictions
| Model | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (33.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -33 (52-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuburu Naivalurua * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | +29.0 |
| DQ Cole * | 34 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +33.2 |
| Jayson Woodrich * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +14.1 |
| A. Mukeba * | 27 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +25.0 |
| Cooper Craggs * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +11.1 |
| Jaylen Jones | 27 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +32.0 |
| Malcolm Christie | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Nassim Mashhour | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +13.2 |
| Warren Marshall IV | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Jeremiah Bembry | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Deng Majak | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Zavier Banks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Adams * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -29.7 |
| Javan Simmons * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -33.1 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | -29.1 |
| Sam Lewis * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -23.1 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Seth Hubbard | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -27.1 |
| Bryce Ford | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -12.0 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.0 |
* = starter