Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.8% | 28.2% | -5.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson * | 35 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | +15.8 |
| Isaiah Adams * | 33 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +15.4 |
| Sam Lewis * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +15.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Javan Simmons * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +19.3 |
| Seth Hubbard | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +10.4 |
| Bryce Ford | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Tyler Ode | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Grgur Brcic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Jaylen Murphy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Kuac * | 29 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -14.5 |
| Orlando Lovejoy * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Mak Manciel * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -12.4 |
| Nate Johnson * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Stephen Okoro * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.9 |
| TJ Nadeau | 27 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jared Lary | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -15.2 |
| Legend Geeter | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Miles Mitchell | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5.8 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Chase Kuiper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter