Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -8.0 |
| Brandon Noel * | 28 | 11-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 20 | -8.2 |
| Logan Woods * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Keaton Norris * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Michael Imariagbe * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -3.8 |
| Jack Doumbia | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -3.5 |
| Andrew Welage | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Drey Carter | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Solomon Callaghan | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.8 |
| Ayden Davis | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Adams * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +8.7 |
| Javan Simmons * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 32 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +8.1 |
| Sam Lewis * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Seth Hubbard | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +13.3 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -8.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Tyler Ode | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter