Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd -10 (80-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javan Simmons * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +10.9 |
| Sam Lewis * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +10.7 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +14.9 |
| Isaiah Adams * | 24 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Seth Hubbard | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +11.6 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Bryce Ford | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Tyler Ode | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Martin * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | -12.1 |
| Mikal Dawson * | 25 | 2-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | -3.7 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -7.1 |
| Wyatt Fricks * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -10.1 |
| Ryan Nutter * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Dezayne Mingo | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | +0.4 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Cade Gibbs | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Will Moore | 14 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -7.5 |
| Jalen Speer | 9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +0.9 |
* = starter