Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Adams * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | -9.5 |
| Sam Lewis * | 32 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | -10.4 |
| Javan Simmons * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -12.4 |
| Andre Lorentsson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -3.8 |
| Seth Hubbard | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Grgur Brcic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Bryce Ford | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Tyler Ode | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Tayton Conerway * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 8 | +8.5 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +16.5 |
| Thomas Dowd * | 18 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +7.2 |
| Jackson Fields * | 13 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Victor Valdes | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Theo Seng | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Randarius Jones | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Coo. Campbell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
* = starter