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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Ohio Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Margin 14.8% 85.2% +9.6 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio Bobcats +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sai Witt 32 6-11 0-0 9-16 4 0 1 0 9 21 6 -18.3
Isaac Haney 32 0-5 0-3 4-4 4 5 2 0 2 4 8 -20.1
Tate McCubbin 32 3-6 2-4 3-8 5 1 3 2 1 11 15 -20.2
Tekao Carpenter 26 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -17.1
Terrell Gaines 20 1-4 1-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 2 6 4 -2.2
Anton Brookshire 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -10.0
Akili Evans 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
Quan Lax 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +1.1
Me'Kell Burries 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Darius Dawson 5 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2.0
Javar Daniel 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3.0

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Clayton 35 8-12 5-8 1-1 6 0 1 0 6 22 11 +20.3
Jackson Paveletzke 30 5-6 3-3 5-8 4 11 3 0 1 18 29 +23.0
Aidan Hadaway 25 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 4 1 +12.1
AJ Brown 24 3-4 1-2 2-2 1 3 2 0 1 9 10 +6.5
Elmore James 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 5 2 +5.8
Ajay Sheldon 18 3-4 2-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 0 9 12 +10.3
Vic Searls 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 +16.1
Shereef Mitchell 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 +17.2
Elijah Elliott 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 3 1 -3.9
Ayden Evans 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2.9
Ben Estis 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ben Nicol 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 -2.9

* = starter