Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Witt | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 6 | -18.3 |
| I. Haney | 32 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -20.1 |
| T. McCubbin | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | -20.2 |
| T. Carpenter | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -17.1 |
| T. Gaines | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2.2 |
| A. Brookshire | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -10.0 |
| A. Evans | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Q. Lax | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +1.1 |
| M. Burries | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| D. Dawson | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
| J. Daniel | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Clayton | 35 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 11 | +20.3 |
| J. Paveletzke | 30 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 29 | +23.0 |
| A. Hadaway | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +12.1 |
| AJ Brown | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +6.5 |
| E. James | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +5.8 |
| A. Sheldon | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +10.3 |
| V. Searls | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +16.1 |
| S. Mitchell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +17.2 |
| E. Elliott | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -3.9 |
| A. Evans | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.9 |
| B. Estis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Nicol | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
* = starter