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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Ohio Bobcats Marshall Thundering Herd Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aidan Hadaway 35 2-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 5 8 -6.3
Elmore James 35 2-10 1-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 7 1 -8.4
Jackson Paveletzke 35 3-14 0-4 4-4 3 12 1 0 3 10 9 -9.6
AJ Brown 32 8-17 3-8 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 22 9 -8.1
AJ Clayton 27 6-8 4-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 16 13 -1.0
Vic Searls 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 5 6 5 -8.2
Ajay Sheldon 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 3 0 0 2 1 -3.3
Elijah Elliott 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1.2

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Dawson 37 9-12 6-9 3-3 3 2 4 0 2 27 22 +9.2
Jalen Speer 36 5-12 2-7 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 12 5 +15.6
Obinna Anochili-Killen 29 5-7 0-1 2-2 10 0 1 3 3 12 16 +11.2
Dezayne Mingo 28 1-9 0-0 7-8 4 3 0 0 2 9 5 +17.1
Nate Martin 24 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 3 1 0 0 7 13 +14.3
Cade Gibbs 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 4 4 -2.7
Ryan Nutter 13 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -4.7
Wyatt Fricks 10 3-4 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 +0.1
Kaiden White 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.0
Jakob Gibbs 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.9

* = starter