Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ruegsegger | 35 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | -10.1 |
| T. Brelsford | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -9.9 |
| J. Breazeale | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -16.6 |
| K. White Jr. | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -2.6 |
| G. Marshall | 21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -10.0 |
| K. Carvey | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +4.0 |
| T. Scott | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.7 |
| A. Mellouk | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -6.7 |
| S. Clay | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.8 |
| J. Webb | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. James | 32 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +10.3 |
| J. Paveletzke | 30 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +10.8 |
| AJ Clayton | 28 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +19.1 |
| A. Hadaway | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +7.5 |
| AJ Brown | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6.5 |
| A. Sheldon | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.1 |
| V. Searls | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +2.6 |
| E. Elliott | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -2.6 |
| A. Evans | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| B. Estis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Nicol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
* = starter