Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Clayton * | 37 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -4.6 |
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Shereef Mitchell * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -5.5 |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | -10.5 |
| AJ Brown * | 22 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +6.0 |
| Elmore James | 21 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -14.9 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Vic Searls | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.5 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Brown * | 31 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | +9.2 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | +7.4 |
| AJ Smith * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -11.1 |
| Mark Freeman * | 24 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Justin Taylor * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.7 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +11.2 |
| Noah Williams | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.3 |
* = starter