Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +20 (64-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Henry * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Terry * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -17.1 |
| Jalin Billingsley * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -12.3 |
| Da'Sean Nelson * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -9.6 |
| Arne Osojnik * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -15.0 |
| Trey Pettigrew | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11.4 |
| Yusuf Jihad | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.7 |
| Julian Lewis | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -7.1 |
| Godslove Nwabude | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| John Shanu II | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Dillon Tingler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.6 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +16.5 |
| Dylan Dawson * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +11.2 |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +12.5 |
| Christian Turner * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tylan Pope * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +24.3 |
| Drue Drinnon | 24 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +16.7 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Austin Green | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Nate Deer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Jaylen Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter