Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +9 (82-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amahrie Simpkins * | 30 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | -10.0 |
| Daniel Akitoby * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -6.2 |
| Rob Lawson * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -16.3 |
| Wynston Tabbs * | 24 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Kiran Oliver * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Kameron Hobbs | 29 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | -9.4 |
| Will Thomas | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Jaden Martin | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Marland Harris | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Tytan Newton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Demajion Topps | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.9 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol * | 36 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Noah Batchelor * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +13.3 |
| Tyson Dunn * | 33 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 24 | +10.4 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7.8 |
| Tim Oboh * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +15.4 |
| Brayden Jackson | 27 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +16.1 |
| Ben Michaels | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Kavon Bradford | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Bryson Wilson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Frederiks Meinarts | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.9 |
* = starter