๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2024-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Sabol * 39 8-16 3-5 3-3 2 2 0 0 1 22 9 -8.7
Noah Batchelor * 33 4-8 2-5 6-9 10 1 0 0 3 16 16 -6.9
Anquan Boldin Jr. * 30 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 4 6 -13.1
Tim Oboh * 14 2-5 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 8 3 -9.2
Tyson Dunn * 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -11.7
Lloyd McVeigh 26 1-5 0-2 2-4 5 1 0 1 0 4 6 -2.3
Bryson Wilson 22 5-10 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 2 2 11 8 +0.6
Frederiks Meinarts 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 +5.3
Brayden Jackson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.1
Kavon Bradford 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.8

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Long * 34 3-8 1-3 2-3 4 3 1 0 0 9 9 +10.9
Ileri Ayo-Faleye * 32 4-8 3-6 7-8 5 0 0 2 0 18 17 +8.9
Shamir Bogues * 31 5-14 0-2 0-2 6 4 2 0 1 10 7 +15.0
TJ Hurley * 28 6-11 3-5 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 17 11 +18.9
Nick Fiorillo * 27 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 2 0 7 12 +4.9
Sam Alamutu 19 4-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 0 9 10 -4.6
Sean Blake 16 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -3.7
Jace Roquemore 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.4
Noah Barnett 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Seth Joba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter