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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Kansas City Roos Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Kansas City Roos +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Butler 37 4-10 2-6 1-1 5 1 0 0 3 11 4 -9.0
J. Campbell 37 11-17 1-1 4-7 3 2 5 0 2 27 18 -9.3
M. Johnson 33 8-15 3-8 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 22 11 -4.1
T. Thomas 32 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 7 5 -8.4
J. Felt 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 4 -9.8
B. Green 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -4.5
W. Exacte 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -1.1
P. Squire 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +1.0

Kansas City Roos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Petty 36 5-8 2-4 0-1 4 1 1 0 3 12 7 +9.3
J. Brown 33 6-12 4-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 18 6 +9.3
M. Ebonkoli 32 6-8 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 14 12 +22.1
B. Diallo 30 4-7 0-1 6-7 6 6 1 0 2 14 18 +3.0
C. Faas 29 6-9 4-7 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 16 14 -1.4
R. Nyeri 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 3 0 2 6 -2.5
D. Hall 13 4-5 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 9 7 +15.5
J. Ijeh 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
K. Grady II 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.9

* = starter