Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Henderson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Jahari Williamson * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -16.4 |
| Justin Page * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Olumide Adelodun * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -17.4 |
| Jhaylon Martinez * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Justice Smith * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Zion Russell | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +9.5 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Will Shortt | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Johnson * | 31 | 10-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | +9.3 |
| Javontae Campbell * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Trey Thomas * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Sam Towns * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +0.3 |
| Youssef Khayat * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Derrick Butler | 29 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +16.6 |
| Braelon Green | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +13.8 |
| Jamai Felt | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.9 |
| W. Exacte | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| DaJion Humphrey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.1 |
* = starter