Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +32.1 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | -11.5 |
| Youssef Khayat * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -8.5 |
| Marcus Johnson * | 35 | 9-24 | 1-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Trey Thomas * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +14.7 |
| Sam Towns * | 26 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Braelon Green | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Jamai Felt | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Derrick Butler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -16.8 |
| DaJion Humphrey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| W. Exacte | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Akins * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +15.5 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +15.2 |
| Frankie Fidler * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 10-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -7.0 |
| Szymon Zapala * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -12.5 |
| Coen Carr | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +7.8 |
| Tre Holloman | 25 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Jase Richardson | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Xavier Booker | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Kur Teng | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.1 |
* = starter