Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -9.9 |
| Marcus Johnson * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Trey Thomas * | 31 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -8.1 |
| Sam Towns * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -4.3 |
| Derrick Butler * | 28 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Braelon Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -8.4 |
| Youssef Khayat | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.2 |
| W. Exacte | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Preston Squire | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| DaJion Humphrey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Jamai Felt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Neftali Alvarez * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +11.7 |
| Christian Watson * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Andre Curbelo * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | +3.5 |
| DeAntoni Gordon * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +8.9 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tegra Izay | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.4 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.1 |
* = starter